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Race Day Picks: All Models (16 Sep 2026)

跑馬地 (Happy Valley) · 8 races
KB heuristic · Gradient Boost · Price-Blind
Odds snapshot: 2026-09-16T08:00 UTC
Day score (of 5/race, 8/8 races run): KB 2.1 · Gradient Boost 2.9 · Price-Blind 2.6

One page, three independent views of the same race day: the knowledgebase heuristic (no ML), a Gradient Boost ensemble, and a price-blind classifier. Gradient Boost isn't a single model — it's a simple average of a full-population classifier's and a trackwork-specialist classifier's own P(win), validated in a coverage-matched backtest to beat both solo models on win-betting ROI specifically (-6.9% vs -9.3% classifier alone / -9.4% trackwork alone); P(place) stays the classifier's own number there, since ensembling place tested worse. The price-blind model is the classifier's feature set minus today's market price — see its tab for why that's a comparison view, not a better predictor.

Top Picks of the Race Day

The day's 3 strongest consensus picks — one candidate per race, taken as whichever runner the most models independently ranked as their own #1, ranked here by how many models agree and then by their average predicted win probability. Cross-model agreement, not a single model's raw confidence.

1
Race 4
#3 烈焰光芒
3/3 models agree: KB + Gradient Boost + Price-Blind
avg P(win) 24.9%
2
Race 7
#5 品德寶寶
3/3 models agree: KB + Gradient Boost + Price-Blind
avg P(win) 21.7%
3
Race 6
#1 一定超
3/3 models agree: KB + Gradient Boost + Price-Blind
avg P(win) 21.6%

High Odd Picks

Runners where KB and Price-Blind independently agree on the same #1, currently priced above 8x — a value signal, not a confidence ranking. Up to 3, longest price first.

1
Race 8
#7 銀亮奔騰
KB + Price-Blind both rank this #1
Odds 8.8 · Price-Blind P(win) 17.8%

Knowledgebase heuristic — not a trained model. An explicit, auditable weighted score built from trainer/jockey solo win%, trainer–jockey pair synergy, jockey×course/distance fit, trainer×gear synergy, and each horse's own last-race benchmark z-scores. score = 2.6*finish_z + 1.5*closing_z + (trainer_win_pct-league_avg) + (jockey_win_pct-league_avg) + pair_synergy_pp*min(1,pair_n/100) + course_distance_synergy_pp*min(1,jcd_n/100) + gear_synergy_pp*0.5

Gradient Boost ensemble — P(win) averaged between a calibrated HistGradientBoostingClassifier trained on the full population (ROC AUC win 0.786, place 0.774, run 20260912T125039Z) and a separate trackwork-specialist classifier trained only on starts with real HKJC trackwork history (96 of 96 starters covered today; ROC AUC win 0.750, place 0.749, run 20260912T125056Z). Falls back to the classifier's own P(win) unchanged where trackwork has no data. P(place) is always the classifier's own number.

Price-blind ensemble — P(win) averaged between a price-blind classifier and a price-blind trackwork specialist (covered starters only), each the price-aware ML/TW models' own feature set with implied_prob/odds_rank_in_race removed; neither ever sees today's market price. Classifier ROC AUC win 0.695, place 0.702 (vs. 0.786/0.774 price-aware); trackwork ROC AUC win 0.659, place 0.672 (vs. 0.750/0.749 price-aware) — the gaps are expected, not a bug. Counted in today's cross-model consensus, but its disagreements with the market have not shown real predictive skill when tested at scale (see model.change.log.md section 7) — treat an agreement that rests mainly on this tab as weaker evidence than one backed by KB or Gradient Boost. Runs 20260913T001139Z / 20260913T002057Z.

Race 1

第五班 · 1000m
跑馬地 · Post 19:10 · Rating 40-0 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $875,000
Top 3: #9 花香月明 · #2 喆喆友福 · #3 雙子美麗 Score 0/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 9 花香月明 韋達7.0% 霍宏聲7.7% overall · 13.4% here (n=112)
course/dist +5.1pp (n=112)
 +1.24 +0.09 — +9.82 4.8+0
2 2 喆喆友福 沈集成10.0% 潘頓21.5% overall · 22.5% here (n=182) -0.13 -0.99 TT/B +8.47 7.6+2
3 3 雙子美麗 告東尼8.5% 鍾易禮6.3% overall · 14.4% here (n=104)
course/dist +7.6pp (n=104)
 +0.55 -0.16 TT +6.76 17.0+5
4 4 良駒好友 文家良8.4% 何澤堯10.7% overall · 15.0% here (n=113)
course/dist +3.4pp (n=113)
 +0.62 -0.44 TT/B +4.82 10.0+1
5 11 辣得金 1st $45.00 巫偉傑8.3% 梁家俊7.0% overall · 5.9% here (n=119) -0.28 +1.47 TT/H +1.89 5.0-3
6 10 君智盛 姚本輝10.0% 奧爾民6.5% overall · 7.7% here (n=26) -0.91 -3.96 B -9.40 36.0+5
7 5 瑰麗人生 蘇偉賢6.8% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 7.9% here (n=89) -3.01 -1.51 TT/B -11.71 17.0+2
8 7 銀亮濠俠 徐雨石5.1% 田泰安9.8% overall · 5.4% here (n=168)
course/dist -5.3pp (n=168)
 -2.71 -2.31 V -12.45 5.3-5
9 1 尚旋 呂健威11.6% 楊明綸3.8% overall · 2.2% here (n=90) -3.12 -3.13 XB -13.12 49.0+3
10 6 飈誌 3rd $46.00 黎昭昇7.0% 希威森6.8% overall · 5.7% here (n=122) -2.30 -3.79 TT/B -16.43 18.0+0
11 8 陸小鳳 葉楚航5.6% 艾道拿6.6% overall · 3.2% here (n=62)
course/dist -3.9pp (n=62)
 -1.95 -2.90 SR -17.37 10.0-5
12 12 洛河 2nd $46.50 丁冠豪6.6% 金誠剛4.1% overall · 18.8% here (n=16) -3.73 -3.37 TT/CP -17.84 13.0-5

Race 1

第五班 · 1000m
跑馬地 · Post 19:10 · Rating 40-0 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $875,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #11 辣得金 · #9 花香月明 · #7 銀亮濠俠 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 11 辣得金 1st $45.00 3 123 巫偉傑8.3% 梁家俊7.0% -0.28
20.6%
48.3%
 5.0+4.0pp
2 9 花香月明 4 124 韋達7.0% 霍宏聲7.7% +1.24
19.2%
51.9%
 4.8+1.9pp
3 7 銀亮濠俠 10 127 徐雨石5.0% 田泰安9.8% -2.71
16.1%
45.5%
 5.3+0.4pp
4 2 喆喆友福 12 130 沈集成9.9% 潘頓21.5% -0.13
9.6%
37.8%
 7.6-1.3pp
5 12 洛河 2nd $46.50 7 122 丁冠豪6.6% 金誠剛4.2% -3.73
8.0%
23.2%
 13.0+1.6pp
6 8 陸小鳳 6 125 葉楚航5.6% 艾道拿6.6% -1.95
8.0%
23.7%
 10.0-0.3pp
7 6 飈誌 3rd $46.00 1 128 黎昭昇7.1% 希威森6.8% -2.30
7.0%
29.2%
 18.0+2.4pp
8 4 良駒好友 11 130 文家良8.4% 何澤堯10.8% +0.62
6.8%
27.4%
 10.0-1.5pp
9 5 瑰麗人生 5 130 蘇偉賢6.8% 周俊樂7.3% -3.01
6.1%
21.8%
 17.0+1.2pp
10 3 雙子美麗 2 130 告東尼8.5% 鍾易禮6.3% +0.55
5.6%
26.2%
 17.0+0.8pp
11 10 君智盛 8 123 姚本輝10.1% 奧爾民6.5% -0.91
4.3%
10.2%
 36.0+2.0pp
12 1 尚旋 9 132 呂健威11.6% 楊明綸3.8% -3.12
2.3%
12.6%
 49.0+0.6pp

Race 1

第五班 · 1000m
跑馬地 · Post 19:10 · Rating 40-0 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $875,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #2 喆喆友福 · #9 花香月明 · #4 良駒好友 Score 0/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 2 喆喆友福 沈集成9.9% 潘頓21.5% -0.13 -0.99
18.0%
49.0%
 7.6+7.1pp
2 9 花香月明 韋達7.0% 霍宏聲7.7% +1.24 +0.09
14.4%
49.1%
 4.8-2.9pp
3 4 良駒好友 文家良8.4% 何澤堯10.8% +0.62 -0.44
12.2%
32.1%
 10.0+3.9pp
4 11 辣得金 1st $45.00 巫偉傑8.3% 梁家俊7.0% -0.28 +1.47
11.4%
33.7%
 5.0-5.2pp
5 6 飈誌 3rd $46.00 黎昭昇7.1% 希威森6.8% -2.30 -3.79
10.9%
20.4%
 18.0+6.3pp
6 5 瑰麗人生 蘇偉賢6.8% 周俊樂7.3% -3.01 -1.51
10.7%
19.3%
 17.0+5.8pp
7 12 洛河 2nd $46.50 丁冠豪6.6% 金誠剛4.2% -3.73 -3.37
9.9%
18.3%
 13.0+3.5pp
8 7 銀亮濠俠 徐雨石5.0% 田泰安9.8% -2.71 -2.31
9.4%
26.2%
 5.3-6.3pp
9 10 君智盛 姚本輝10.1% 奧爾民6.5% -0.91 -3.96
9.3%
22.1%
 36.0+7.0pp
10 3 雙子美麗 告東尼8.5% 鍾易禮6.3% +0.55 -0.16
8.5%
25.3%
 17.0+3.6pp
11 8 陸小鳳 葉楚航5.6% 艾道拿6.6% -1.95 -2.90
5.6%
15.4%
 10.0-2.7pp
12 1 尚旋 呂健威11.6% 楊明綸3.8% -3.12 -3.13
5.1%
13.2%
 49.0+3.4pp

Race 2

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 19:40 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3: #11 天下寵兒 · #7 加州勇勝 · #5 風火猴王 Score 0/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 11 天下寵兒 廖康銘9.8% 艾兆禮9.3% overall · 11.6% here (n=302) +0.90 -1.37 TT/CP +6.93 3.4+0
2 7 加州勇勝 告東尼8.5% 田泰安9.8% overall · 9.3% here (n=590) -0.40 +0.35 TT/V +1.25 12.0+4
3 5 風火猴王 游達榮8.7% 艾道拿6.6% overall · 4.2% here (n=259) +1.12 -1.10 B +0.57 6.7+1
4 10 有盈勇士 沈集成10.0% 鍾易禮6.3% overall · 7.1% here (n=322) +0.25 -0.21 TT/B -1.75 28.0+5
5 3 朗日自強 1st $47.00 文家良8.4% 梁家俊7.0% overall · 5.5% here (n=469) -0.60 +0.12 TT/V -1.92 5.7-2
6 8 花好月盈 2nd $17.50 韋達7.0% 班德禮6.8% overall · 8.1% here (n=419) -0.10 -2.90 XB -5.91 5.1-4
7 4 龍虎精神 3rd $191.00 羅富全9.7% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 7.3% here (n=395) -1.19 -2.06 TT/CP/XB -7.17 45.0+4
8 9 凱皇寶 巫偉傑8.3% 蔡明紹6.0% overall · 7.6% here (n=474) -0.88 -2.67 TT/CP -7.37 18.0-1
9 6 多威心得 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.1% overall · 8.3% here (n=72)
course/dist +4.0pp (n=72)
 -0.97 -3.08 CP -8.57 28.0+1
10 12 智勝攻略 黎昭昇7.0% 潘明輝5.5% overall · 6.6% here (n=455) -0.74 -2.02 TT/B -8.84 23.0-2
11 1 本領多好 桂福特7.5% 希威森6.8% overall · 7.2% here (n=459) -2.21 -3.70 V -13.10 49.0+1
12 2 勝兄弟 徐雨石5.1% 巴度7.3% overall · 8.2% here (n=500) -1.24 -4.60 B -14.16 8.8-7

Race 2

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 19:40 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #11 天下寵兒 · #3 朗日自強 · #8 花好月盈 Score 4/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 11 天下寵兒 10 118 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% +0.90
21.6%
52.3%
 3.4-2.8pp
2 3 朗日自強 1st $47.00 3 133 文家良8.4% 梁家俊7.0% -0.60
19.7%
44.1%
 5.7+5.1pp
3 8 花好月盈 2nd $17.50 4 125 韋達7.0% 班德禮6.8% -0.10
15.8%
57.1%
 5.1-0.4pp
4 5 風火猴王 5 129 游達榮8.7% 艾道拿6.6% +1.12
14.5%
43.4%
 6.7+2.2pp
5 9 凱皇寶 2 125 巫偉傑8.3% 蔡明紹6.0% -0.88
9.3%
25.5%
 18.0+4.7pp
6 2 勝兄弟 1 135 徐雨石5.0% 巴度7.3% -1.24
8.0%
36.3%
 8.8-1.4pp
7 7 加州勇勝 8 126 告東尼8.5% 田泰安9.8% -0.40
6.5%
28.3%
 12.0-0.5pp
8 10 有盈勇士 12 119 沈集成9.9% 鍾易禮6.3% +0.25
5.3%
18.8%
 28.0+2.3pp
9 12 智勝攻略 7 117 黎昭昇7.1% 潘明輝5.5% -0.74
4.4%
16.4%
 23.0+0.8pp
10 6 多威心得 6 129 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.2% -0.97
3.7%
13.4%
 28.0+0.7pp
11 1 本領多好 11 135 桂福特7.7% 希威森6.7% -2.21
3.0%
6.4%
 49.0+1.3pp
12 4 龍虎精神 3rd $191.00 9 131 羅富全9.7% 周俊樂7.3% -1.19
2.9%
7.7%
 45.0+1.0pp

Race 2

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 19:40 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #8 花好月盈 · #3 朗日自強 · #5 風火猴王 Score 4/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 8 花好月盈 2nd $17.50 韋達7.0% 班德禮6.8% -0.10 -2.90
16.7%
55.5%
 5.1+0.5pp
2 3 朗日自強 1st $47.00 文家良8.4% 梁家俊7.0% -0.60 +0.12
15.2%
31.9%
 5.7+0.7pp
3 5 風火猴王 游達榮8.7% 艾道拿6.6% +1.12 -1.10
14.4%
46.5%
 6.7+2.0pp
4 11 天下寵兒 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% +0.90 -1.37
14.3%
33.3%
 3.4-10.1pp
5 9 凱皇寶 巫偉傑8.3% 蔡明紹6.0% -0.88 -2.67
10.5%
29.1%
 18.0+5.9pp
6 2 勝兄弟 徐雨石5.0% 巴度7.3% -1.24 -4.60
6.5%
24.3%
 8.8-2.9pp
7 4 龍虎精神 3rd $191.00 羅富全9.7% 周俊樂7.3% -1.19 -2.06
6.2%
14.5%
 45.0+4.4pp
8 6 多威心得 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.2% -0.97 -3.08
5.9%
23.0%
 28.0+2.9pp
9 7 加州勇勝 告東尼8.5% 田泰安9.8% -0.40 +0.35
5.7%
25.0%
 12.0-1.2pp
10 1 本領多好 桂福特7.7% 希威森6.7% -2.21 -3.70
5.1%
11.7%
 49.0+3.4pp
11 12 智勝攻略 黎昭昇7.1% 潘明輝5.5% -0.74 -2.02
4.6%
12.8%
 23.0+1.0pp
12 10 有盈勇士 沈集成9.9% 鍾易禮6.3% +0.25 -0.21
4.2%
17.7%
 28.0+1.3pp

Race 3

第四班 · 1800m
跑馬地 · Post 20:10 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3: #6 捷足奔馳 · #8 富裕君子 · #1 優才 Score 1/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 6 捷足奔馳 2nd $13.50 姚本輝10.0% 田泰安9.8% overall · 12.0% here (n=108) +1.32 -0.60 TT/V +10.11 7.1+3
2 8 富裕君子 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.7% overall · 20.2% here (n=89)
course/dist +8.9pp (n=89)
 -0.36 -0.32 TT +9.73 19.0+8
3 1 優才 葉楚航5.6% 潘頓21.5% overall · 15.7% here (n=102)
course/dist -7.0pp (n=102)
 -0.12 -1.38 TT +8.75 3.2-2
4 3 八駿笑昇 告東尼8.5% 艾道拿6.6% overall · 7.8% here (n=51) +0.85 +1.46 TT/B +5.75 10.0+1
5 7 夢照發 1st $129.00 黎昭昇7.0% 巴度7.3% overall · 8.0% here (n=100) +0.12 +2.09 — +3.26 14.0+2
6 10 禾道威 3rd $21.00 大衛希斯8.0% 楊明綸3.8% overall · 7.5% here (n=67)
course/dist +3.4pp (n=67)
 +0.48 +1.78 TT/CP +0.26 6.6-3
7 9 獎星 羅富全9.7% 潘明輝5.5% overall · 4.7% here (n=86) +0.03 +0.55 TT/B -2.41 12.0-1
8 12 蜜蜜送 韋達7.0% 鍾易禮6.3% overall · 5.3% here (n=57) +0.19 -0.38 CP/SR -3.43 17.0+1
9 4 熒光 文家良8.4% 蔡明紹6.0% overall · 6.4% here (n=94) -2.37 -0.30 TT/B -7.25 53.0+3
10 2 晉步贏 伍鵬志7.9% 班德禮6.8% overall · 6.0% here (n=67) -0.60 +0.00 B -9.67 15.0-2
11 5 浪漫老撾 鄭俊偉5.2% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 8.7% here (n=69) -2.11 -0.88 TT/CP -10.83 6.4-9
12 11 一風雲 丁冠豪6.6% 金誠剛4.1% overall · 0.0% here (n=12) -3.74 -3.77 TT/B -21.23 41.0-1

Race 3

第四班 · 1800m
跑馬地 · Post 20:10 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #5 浪漫老撾 · #1 優才 · #10 禾道威 Score 1/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 5 浪漫老撾 3 128 鄭俊偉5.3% 周俊樂7.3% -2.11
23.0%
43.4%
 6.4+10.0pp
2 1 優才 12 134 葉楚航5.6% 潘頓21.5% -0.12
19.8%
52.1%
 3.2-6.1pp
3 10 禾道威 3rd $21.00 7 120 大衛希斯8.0% 楊明綸3.8% +0.48
15.7%
47.4%
 6.6+3.2pp
4 6 捷足奔馳 2nd $13.50 1 123 姚本輝10.1% 田泰安9.8% +1.32
9.4%
40.3%
 7.1-2.3pp
5 9 獎星 10 120 羅富全9.7% 潘明輝5.5% +0.03
8.4%
23.7%
 12.0+1.5pp
6 3 八駿笑昇 5 130 告東尼8.5% 艾道拿6.6% +0.85
7.6%
26.3%
 10.0-0.7pp
7 7 夢照發 1st $129.00 4 122 黎昭昇7.1% 巴度7.3% +0.12
7.1%
25.3%
 14.0+1.2pp
8 2 晉步贏 8 133 伍鵬志7.8% 班德禮6.8% -0.60
5.4%
22.2%
 15.0-0.1pp
9 8 富裕君子 11 121 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.8% -0.36
5.0%
15.1%
 19.0+0.6pp
10 12 蜜蜜送 6 118 韋達7.0% 鍾易禮6.3% +0.19
4.7%
20.7%
 17.0-0.1pp
11 4 熒光 9 129 文家良8.4% 蔡明紹6.0% -2.37
3.6%
8.3%
 53.0+2.1pp
12 11 一風雲 2 119 丁冠豪6.6% 金誠剛4.2% -3.74
3.0%
12.4%
 41.0+1.0pp

Race 3

第四班 · 1800m
跑馬地 · Post 20:10 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #6 捷足奔馳 · #10 禾道威 · #1 優才 Score 2/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 6 捷足奔馳 2nd $13.50 姚本輝10.1% 田泰安9.8% +1.32 -0.60
20.5%
60.5%
 7.1+8.9pp
2 10 禾道威 3rd $21.00 大衛希斯8.0% 楊明綸3.8% +0.48 +1.78
14.2%
41.3%
 6.6+1.6pp
3 1 優才 葉楚航5.6% 潘頓21.5% -0.12 -1.38
13.7%
33.2%
 3.2-12.2pp
4 3 八駿笑昇 告東尼8.5% 艾道拿6.6% +0.85 +1.46
13.5%
35.0%
 10.0+5.2pp
5 7 夢照發 1st $129.00 黎昭昇7.1% 巴度7.3% +0.12 +2.09
11.7%
38.8%
 14.0+5.8pp
6 9 獎星 羅富全9.7% 潘明輝5.5% +0.03 +0.55
11.5%
31.7%
 12.0+4.6pp
7 5 浪漫老撾 鄭俊偉5.3% 周俊樂7.3% -2.11 -0.88
10.4%
33.9%
 6.4-2.6pp
8 8 富裕君子 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.8% -0.36 -0.32
9.3%
21.9%
 19.0+4.9pp
9 12 蜜蜜送 韋達7.0% 鍾易禮6.3% +0.19 -0.38
6.7%
23.0%
 17.0+1.8pp
10 2 晉步贏 伍鵬志7.8% 班德禮6.8% -0.60 +0.00
6.4%
15.2%
 15.0+0.9pp
11 11 一風雲 丁冠豪6.6% 金誠剛4.2% -3.74 -3.77
6.2%
17.8%
 41.0+4.2pp
12 4 熒光 文家良8.4% 蔡明紹6.0% -2.37 -0.30
5.8%
16.8%
 53.0+4.2pp

Race 4

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 20:40 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3: #3 烈焰光芒 · #5 星威心得 · #12 有你有我 Score 4/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 3 烈焰光芒 1st $31.50 韋達7.0% 潘頓21.5% overall · 20.5% here (n=591) +1.32 -1.00 B/XB +9.82 3.1+0
2 5 星威心得 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.1% overall · 8.3% here (n=72)
course/dist +4.0pp (n=72)
 +1.62 -0.28 B +2.27 9.9+4
3 12 有你有我 3rd $30.50 廖康銘9.8% 艾兆禮9.3% overall · 11.6% here (n=302) -0.55 -2.07 TT/H/P +0.27 8.3+1
4 1 沙井之友 巫偉傑8.3% 何澤堯10.7% overall · 12.0% here (n=435) -0.46 -1.53 TT -0.92 13.0+3
5 9 廚神 徐雨石5.1% 鍾易禮6.3% overall · 7.1% here (n=322) -0.82 +0.14 CP -1.70 53.0+6
6 2 棒棒糖 方嘉柏9.6% 奧爾民6.5% overall · 10.3% here (n=116)
course/dist +3.5pp (n=116)
 -0.60 -3.97 — -1.76 8.4-1
7 4 日馳千里 姚本輝10.0% 袁幸堯13.0% overall · 0.0% here (n=3) -1.67 -1.99 V -5.49 5.4-5
8 8 好運多彩 羅富全9.7% 潘明輝5.5% overall · 6.6% here (n=455) -1.41 -1.97 TT/H -7.52 56.0+4
9 6 維港激流 伍鵬志7.9% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 7.3% here (n=395) -1.59 -0.38 TT/B -9.11 14.0-1
10 11 頑童 2nd $21.00 鄭俊偉5.2% 楊明綸3.8% overall · 2.2% here (n=322) -0.67 -0.96 — -12.08 8.2-7
11 7 開心孖寶 呂健威11.6% 艾道拿6.6% overall · 4.2% here (n=259) -5.10 -4.20 TT/B -20.82 26.0-2
12 10 駿馬之光 告東尼8.5% 巴度7.3% overall · 8.2% here (n=500) -5.24 -3.38 TT/CP -21.28 29.0-2

Race 4

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 20:40 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #3 烈焰光芒 · #4 日馳千里 · #11 頑童 Score 4/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 3 烈焰光芒 1st $31.50 2 131 韋達7.0% 潘頓21.4% +1.32
21.7%
66.3%
 3.1-5.1pp
2 4 日馳千里 5 129 姚本輝10.1% 袁幸堯12.9% -1.67
12.0%
48.1%
 5.4-3.4pp
3 11 頑童 2nd $21.00 4 118 鄭俊偉5.3% 楊明綸3.8% -0.67
9.8%
49.0%
 8.2-0.4pp
4 5 星威心得 1 127 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.2% +1.62
8.6%
36.2%
 9.9+0.2pp
5 1 沙井之友 11 135 巫偉傑8.3% 何澤堯10.8% -0.46
8.5%
24.4%
 13.0+2.2pp
6 12 有你有我 3rd $30.50 3 118 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% -0.55
8.0%
33.1%
 8.3-2.0pp
7 2 棒棒糖 9 135 方嘉柏9.6% 奧爾民6.5% -0.60
7.6%
35.8%
 8.4-2.2pp
8 6 維港激流 6 127 伍鵬志7.8% 周俊樂7.3% -1.59
6.3%
21.8%
 14.0+0.4pp
9 7 開心孖寶 7 126 呂健威11.6% 艾道拿6.6% -5.10
3.9%
15.2%
 26.0+0.7pp
10 10 駿馬之光 8 120 告東尼8.5% 巴度7.3% -5.24
3.6%
11.5%
 29.0+0.7pp
11 8 好運多彩 12 126 羅富全9.7% 潘明輝5.5% -1.41
2.2%
8.3%
 56.0+0.7pp
12 9 廚神 10 122 徐雨石5.0% 鍾易禮6.3% -0.82
2.0%
6.2%
 53.0+0.4pp

Race 4

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 20:40 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #3 烈焰光芒 · #5 星威心得 · #11 頑童 Score 4/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 3 烈焰光芒 1st $31.50 韋達7.0% 潘頓21.4% +1.32 -1.00
28.1%
69.3%
 3.1+1.3pp
2 5 星威心得 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.2% +1.62 -0.28
15.9%
46.9%
 9.9+7.5pp
3 11 頑童 2nd $21.00 鄭俊偉5.3% 楊明綸3.8% -0.67 -0.96
14.2%
44.8%
 8.2+4.0pp
4 2 棒棒糖 方嘉柏9.6% 奧爾民6.5% -0.60 -3.97
11.1%
30.7%
 8.4+1.2pp
5 1 沙井之友 巫偉傑8.3% 何澤堯10.8% -0.46 -1.53
11.0%
33.1%
 13.0+4.6pp
6 4 日馳千里 姚本輝10.1% 袁幸堯12.9% -1.67 -1.99
10.8%
27.4%
 5.4-4.5pp
7 7 開心孖寶 呂健威11.6% 艾道拿6.6% -5.10 -4.20
7.9%
18.7%
 26.0+4.7pp
8 6 維港激流 伍鵬志7.8% 周俊樂7.3% -1.59 -0.38
7.7%
18.7%
 14.0+1.7pp
9 12 有你有我 3rd $30.50 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% -0.55 -2.07
7.4%
15.3%
 8.3-2.6pp
10 9 廚神 徐雨石5.0% 鍾易禮6.3% -0.82 +0.14
5.1%
13.8%
 53.0+3.6pp
11 8 好運多彩 羅富全9.7% 潘明輝5.5% -1.41 -1.97
4.4%
11.0%
 56.0+3.0pp
12 10 駿馬之光 告東尼8.5% 巴度7.3% -5.24 -3.38
4.2%
15.8%
 29.0+1.3pp

Race 5

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 21:10 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3: #2 起舞奜奜 · #6 競駿非凡 · #3 穿甲戰鷹 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 2 起舞奜奜 文家良8.4% 黃寶妮7.1% overall · 2.8% here (n=36)
course/dist -4.6pp (n=36)
 -0.21 +0.60 V +6.83 26.0+11
2 6 競駿非凡 1st $31.00 韋達7.0% 潘頓21.5% overall · 20.5% here (n=591) -0.17 -0.41 CP +6.69 4.3-1
3 3 穿甲戰鷹 廖康銘9.8% 艾兆禮9.3% overall · 11.6% here (n=302) -0.54 -1.17 TT/CP +3.49 10.0+3
4 5 風采人生 方嘉柏9.6% 黃智弘8.6% overall · 8.1% here (n=160) +0.05 -1.09 TT/B +2.90 22.0+7
5 7 紅錢到 3rd $19.50 呂健威11.6% 霍宏聲7.7% overall · 10.7% here (n=394) +0.82 -1.72 B/XB +2.67 8.3-1
6 1 時時開心 游達榮8.7% 金誠剛4.1% overall · 8.3% here (n=72)
course/dist +4.0pp (n=72)
 +0.08 -1.08 B -0.18 12.0+2
7 8 老鼠斑 沈集成10.0% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 7.3% here (n=395) +0.52 -1.45 TT/B -0.46 5.7-5
8 9 心中之星 伍鵬志7.9% 何澤堯10.7% overall · 12.0% here (n=435) -1.57 -0.50 — -0.69 19.0+1
9 4 幸運愉快 2nd $30.00 巫偉傑8.3% 潘明輝5.5% overall · 6.6% here (n=455) -0.46 +0.19 TT/H -0.70 11.0-2
10 10 團結戰靈 桂福特7.5% 梁家俊7.0% overall · 5.5% here (n=469) +0.90 +0.18 TT/XB/V -2.49 9.5-5
11 11 領袖勁力 徐雨石5.1% 田泰安9.8% overall · 9.3% here (n=590) -2.18 -0.90 TT -7.35 7.3-8
12 12 友得盈 丁冠豪6.6% 巫顯東3.0% overall · 4.2% here (n=142) -0.94 -1.55 TT/B -11.65 20.0-2

Race 5

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 21:10 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #8 老鼠斑 · #6 競駿非凡 · #11 領袖勁力 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 8 老鼠斑 2 126 沈集成9.9% 周俊樂7.3% +0.52
16.8%
43.4%
 5.7+2.2pp
2 6 競駿非凡 1st $31.00 6 131 韋達7.0% 潘頓21.4% -0.17
14.3%
59.5%
 4.3-5.0pp
3 11 領袖勁力 7 118 徐雨石5.0% 田泰安9.8% -2.18
11.6%
34.7%
 7.3+0.2pp
4 10 團結戰靈 1 125 桂福特7.6% 梁家俊7.0% +0.90
8.8%
35.3%
 9.5+0.0pp
5 7 紅錢到 3rd $19.50 3 130 呂健威11.6% 霍宏聲7.7% +0.82
8.7%
33.3%
 8.3-1.3pp
6 3 穿甲戰鷹 8 132 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% -0.54
7.2%
27.0%
 10.0-1.1pp
7 4 幸運愉快 2nd $30.00 4 132 巫偉傑8.3% 潘明輝5.5% -0.46
7.0%
27.4%
 11.0-0.6pp
8 1 時時開心 9 135 游達榮8.7% 金誠剛4.2% +0.08
6.4%
25.6%
 12.0-0.5pp
9 5 風采人生 11 131 方嘉柏9.6% 黃智弘8.4% +0.05
5.9%
17.4%
 22.0+2.1pp
10 9 心中之星 5 126 伍鵬志7.8% 何澤堯10.8% -1.57
5.1%
19.2%
 19.0+0.7pp
11 12 友得盈 10 117 丁冠豪6.6% 巫顯東3.0% -0.94
4.9%
19.0%
 20.0+0.7pp
12 2 起舞奜奜 12 135 文家良8.4% 黃寶妮7.2% -0.21
3.7%
11.8%
 26.0+0.5pp

Race 5

第四班 · 1200m
跑馬地 · Post 21:10 · Rating 60-40 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,170,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #6 競駿非凡 · #10 團結戰靈 · #8 老鼠斑 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 6 競駿非凡 1st $31.00 韋達7.0% 潘頓21.4% -0.17 -0.41
18.2%
60.1%
 4.3-1.1pp
2 10 團結戰靈 桂福特7.6% 梁家俊7.0% +0.90 +0.18
17.3%
45.1%
 9.5+8.6pp
3 8 老鼠斑 沈集成9.9% 周俊樂7.3% +0.52 -1.45
16.0%
36.9%
 5.7+1.5pp
4 4 幸運愉快 2nd $30.00 巫偉傑8.3% 潘明輝5.5% -0.46 +0.19
15.9%
40.3%
 11.0+8.3pp
5 7 紅錢到 3rd $19.50 呂健威11.6% 霍宏聲7.7% +0.82 -1.72
15.7%
48.8%
 8.3+5.7pp
6 1 時時開心 游達榮8.7% 金誠剛4.2% +0.08 -1.08
14.5%
36.0%
 12.0+7.5pp
7 9 心中之星 伍鵬志7.8% 何澤堯10.8% -1.57 -0.50
11.4%
39.0%
 19.0+7.1pp
8 3 穿甲戰鷹 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% -0.54 -1.17
10.8%
27.3%
 10.0+2.5pp
9 11 領袖勁力 徐雨石5.0% 田泰安9.8% -2.18 -0.90
10.1%
32.3%
 7.3-1.3pp
10 12 友得盈 丁冠豪6.6% 巫顯東3.0% -0.94 -1.55
8.8%
13.9%
 20.0+4.7pp
11 2 起舞奜奜 文家良8.4% 黃寶妮7.2% -0.21 +0.60
8.7%
21.7%
 26.0+5.5pp
12 5 風采人生 方嘉柏9.6% 黃智弘8.4% +0.05 -1.09
5.9%
18.2%
 22.0+2.1pp

Race 6

第三班 · 1650m
跑馬地 · Post 21:45 · Rating 80-60 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $2,050,000
Top 3: #1 一定超 · #10 北斗福星 · #5 智勇名駒 Score 2/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 1 一定超 2nd $18.00 游達榮8.7% 潘頓21.5% overall · 16.3% here (n=430)
course/dist -6.5pp (n=430)
 +0.00 +0.00 — +7.32 5.1+1
2 10 北斗福星 3rd $21.50 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.7% overall · 11.5% here (n=323) +0.35 +1.69 — +6.31 8.5+1
3 5 智勇名駒 呂健威11.6% 希威森6.8% overall · 8.9% here (n=313) +0.92 -1.06 TT/B +5.30 11.0+3
4 7 納百川 巫偉傑8.3% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 8.4% here (n=275) +0.66 -0.01 TT/V +5.28 13.0+4
5 6 傲視同群 文家良8.4% 袁幸堯13.0% overall · n/a here +0.50 -1.49 TT/B +4.62 14.0+4
6 8 勁好運 廖康銘9.8% 艾兆禮9.3% overall · 6.2% here (n=208)
course/dist -3.6pp (n=208)
 +0.48 -1.08 CP +1.83 12.0+1
7 11 爆笑 告東尼8.5% 田泰安9.8% overall · 11.6% here (n=414) -1.19 -3.31 TT -3.22 14.0+3
8 3 浪漫鬥士 沈集成10.0% 鍾易禮6.3% overall · 7.2% here (n=236) -0.71 -1.28 TT -4.88 8.7-4
9 2 幸運派彩 1st $42.50 徐雨石5.1% 巴度7.3% overall · 6.7% here (n=341) +0.20 -0.19 TT -6.41 8.7-4
10 4 龍文鞭影 黎昭昇7.0% 班德禮6.8% overall · 9.1% here (n=275) -0.03 -0.34 XB -6.48 28.0+2
11 9 榮利雙收 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.1% overall · 2.0% here (n=49) -0.67 +0.49 B -6.60 26.0+0
12 12 太子 伍鵬志7.9% 梁家俊7.0% overall · 6.7% here (n=312) -1.01 -0.63 B -13.10 4.8-11

Race 6

第三班 · 1650m
跑馬地 · Post 21:45 · Rating 80-60 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $2,050,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #1 一定超 · #12 太子 · #10 北斗福星 Score 2/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 1 一定超 2nd $18.00 1 135 游達榮8.7% 潘頓21.4% —
20.7%
44.4%
 5.1+4.5pp
2 12 太子 5 116 伍鵬志7.8% 梁家俊7.0% -1.01
16.7%
50.9%
 4.8-0.6pp
3 10 北斗福星 3rd $21.50 11 117 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.7% +0.35
9.4%
40.1%
 8.5-0.4pp
4 5 智勇名駒 8 123 呂健威11.6% 希威森6.7% +0.92
7.9%
32.0%
 11.0+0.4pp
5 8 勁好運 3 118 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% +0.48
7.9%
27.3%
 12.0+1.0pp
6 7 納百川 9 121 巫偉傑8.3% 周俊樂7.3% +0.66
7.2%
25.8%
 13.0+0.8pp
7 3 浪漫鬥士 6 126 沈集成9.9% 鍾易禮6.3% -0.71
7.0%
32.5%
 8.7-2.5pp
8 2 幸運派彩 1st $42.50 7 126 徐雨石5.0% 巴度7.3% +0.20
6.9%
36.4%
 8.7-2.7pp
9 11 爆笑 2 117 告東尼8.5% 田泰安9.8% -1.19
5.9%
26.3%
 14.0-0.0pp
10 4 龍文鞭影 12 125 黎昭昇7.1% 班德禮6.8% -0.03
4.7%
13.8%
 28.0+1.7pp
11 6 傲視同群 10 121 文家良8.4% 袁幸堯12.8% +0.50
4.5%
21.8%
 14.0-1.4pp
12 9 榮利雙收 4 117 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.1% -0.67
3.7%
16.0%
 26.0+0.5pp

Race 6

第三班 · 1650m
跑馬地 · Post 21:45 · Rating 80-60 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $2,050,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #1 一定超 · #8 勁好運 · #5 智勇名駒 Score 1/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 1 一定超 2nd $18.00 游達榮8.7% 潘頓21.4% — —
22.5%
42.3%
 5.1+6.2pp
2 8 勁好運 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.4% +0.48 -1.08
15.7%
43.0%
 12.0+8.7pp
3 5 智勇名駒 呂健威11.6% 希威森6.7% +0.92 -1.06
12.4%
41.1%
 11.0+4.8pp
4 3 浪漫鬥士 沈集成9.9% 鍾易禮6.3% -0.71 -1.28
11.8%
27.3%
 8.7+2.3pp
5 11 爆笑 告東尼8.5% 田泰安9.8% -1.19 -3.31
11.7%
36.3%
 14.0+5.8pp
6 6 傲視同群 文家良8.4% 袁幸堯12.8% +0.50 -1.49
11.2%
28.7%
 14.0+5.2pp
7 9 榮利雙收 大衛希斯8.0% 金誠剛4.1% -0.67 +0.49
10.1%
29.2%
 26.0+6.9pp
8 12 太子 伍鵬志7.8% 梁家俊7.0% -1.01 -0.63
10.0%
25.0%
 4.8-7.3pp
9 7 納百川 巫偉傑8.3% 周俊樂7.3% +0.66 -0.01
9.8%
21.9%
 13.0+3.4pp
10 10 北斗福星 3rd $21.50 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.7% +0.35 +1.69
9.7%
25.0%
 8.5-0.0pp
11 2 幸運派彩 1st $42.50 徐雨石5.0% 巴度7.3% +0.20 -0.19
8.7%
30.3%
 8.7-0.8pp
12 4 龍文鞭影 黎昭昇7.1% 班德禮6.8% -0.03 -0.34
6.0%
21.3%
 28.0+3.0pp

Race 7

第三班 · 1000m
跑馬地 · Post 22:15 · Rating 80-60 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,860,000
Top 3: #5 品德寶寶 · #4 舞林寶典 · #1 好好戀愛 Score 4/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 5 品德寶寶 文家良8.4% 潘頓21.5% overall · 22.5% here (n=182) -1.46 +0.35 TT/V +15.59 4.5+0
2 4 舞林寶典 1st $109.00 方嘉柏9.6% 黃智弘8.6% overall · 15.4% here (n=52)
course/dist +6.1pp (n=52)
 +0.07 -0.27 TT/B +8.18 5.1+0
3 1 好好戀愛 3rd $16.50 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.7% overall · 15.0% here (n=113)
course/dist +3.4pp (n=113)
 +0.47 +0.10 TT +8.02 8.6+2
4 8 大番薯 廖康銘9.8% 霍宏聲7.7% overall · 13.4% here (n=112)
course/dist +5.1pp (n=112)
 -1.44 -1.58 TT -1.82 11.0+2
5 3 馬力 羅富全9.7% 艾兆禮9.3% overall · 12.0% here (n=75) -2.54 -0.46 TT/XB -3.73 6.7-2
6 12 騰龍四海 黎昭昇7.0% 巴度7.3% overall · 6.9% here (n=130) -1.65 -0.43 TT/B -6.42 25.0+5
7 11 紅逸舍 2nd $44.00 韋達7.0% 蔡明紹6.0% overall · 7.1% here (n=126) -0.88 -0.86 B -6.46 20.0+2
8 10 勝萬金 告東尼8.5% 黃寶妮7.1% overall · 0.0% here (n=12) -1.46 -2.00 TT/H -6.91 6.8-4
9 2 燭光晚餐 徐雨石5.1% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 7.9% here (n=89) -1.42 -1.65 H -7.50 13.0-2
10 6 連連幸運 沈集成10.0% 金誠剛4.1% overall · 18.8% here (n=16) -3.11 -2.42 TT/B -12.13 18.0-2
11 7 領航君子 鄭俊偉5.2% 潘明輝5.5% overall · 5.9% here (n=119) -5.51 -2.00 XB -18.42 22.0-1
12 9 可靠大師 大衛希斯8.0% 田泰安9.8% overall · 5.4% here (n=168)
course/dist -5.3pp (n=168)
 -5.20 -6.88 TT/B -26.78 29.0+0

Race 7

第三班 · 1000m
跑馬地 · Post 22:15 · Rating 80-60 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,860,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #5 品德寶寶 · #4 舞林寶典 · #10 勝萬金 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 5 品德寶寶 7 127 文家良8.4% 潘頓21.4% -1.46
20.6%
48.1%
 4.5+2.2pp
2 4 舞林寶典 1st $109.00 3 128 方嘉柏9.6% 黃智弘8.4% +0.07
19.7%
50.9%
 5.1+3.4pp
3 10 勝萬金 1 118 告東尼8.5% 黃寶妮7.2% -1.46
14.4%
43.4%
 6.8+2.2pp
4 3 馬力 2 133 羅富全9.7% 艾兆禮9.3% -2.54
14.3%
42.0%
 6.7+1.9pp
5 1 好好戀愛 3rd $16.50 6 135 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.7% +0.47
7.3%
34.8%
 8.6-2.3pp
6 8 大番薯 12 122 廖康銘9.9% 霍宏聲7.7% -1.44
7.1%
23.7%
 11.0-0.5pp
7 2 燭光晚餐 11 133 徐雨石5.0% 周俊樂7.3% -1.42
6.1%
24.6%
 13.0-0.2pp
8 6 連連幸運 10 125 沈集成9.9% 金誠剛4.1% -3.11
5.8%
23.6%
 18.0+1.2pp
9 11 紅逸舍 2nd $44.00 4 118 韋達7.0% 蔡明紹6.0% -0.88
4.6%
20.8%
 20.0+0.4pp
10 12 騰龍四海 8 117 黎昭昇7.0% 巴度7.3% -1.65
3.9%
15.3%
 25.0+0.6pp
11 7 領航君子 9 123 鄭俊偉5.3% 潘明輝5.5% -5.51
3.4%
14.6%
 22.0-0.4pp
12 9 可靠大師 5 120 大衛希斯8.0% 田泰安9.8% -5.20
2.8%
15.1%
 29.0-0.1pp

Race 7

第三班 · 1000m
跑馬地 · Post 22:15 · Rating 80-60 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $1,860,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #5 品德寶寶 · #4 舞林寶典 · #1 好好戀愛 Score 4/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 5 品德寶寶 文家良8.4% 潘頓21.4% -1.46 +0.35
22.8%
63.0%
 4.5+4.4pp
2 4 舞林寶典 1st $109.00 方嘉柏9.6% 黃智弘8.4% +0.07 -0.27
17.9%
44.6%
 5.1+1.6pp
3 1 好好戀愛 3rd $16.50 方嘉柏9.6% 何澤堯10.7% +0.47 +0.10
17.7%
46.4%
 8.6+8.0pp
4 10 勝萬金 告東尼8.5% 黃寶妮7.2% -1.46 -2.00
12.1%
32.7%
 6.8-0.1pp
5 2 燭光晚餐 徐雨石5.0% 周俊樂7.3% -1.42 -1.65
10.2%
26.3%
 13.0+3.9pp
6 11 紅逸舍 2nd $44.00 韋達7.0% 蔡明紹6.0% -0.88 -0.86
6.9%
24.0%
 20.0+2.7pp
7 12 騰龍四海 黎昭昇7.0% 巴度7.3% -1.65 -0.43
6.3%
20.0%
 25.0+2.9pp
8 9 可靠大師 大衛希斯8.0% 田泰安9.8% -5.20 -6.88
5.9%
18.3%
 29.0+3.0pp
9 8 大番薯 廖康銘9.9% 霍宏聲7.7% -1.44 -1.58
5.3%
19.5%
 11.0-2.2pp
10 3 馬力 羅富全9.7% 艾兆禮9.3% -2.54 -0.46
5.2%
17.8%
 6.7-7.2pp
11 6 連連幸運 沈集成9.9% 金誠剛4.1% -3.11 -2.42
4.5%
19.1%
 18.0-0.1pp
12 7 領航君子 鄭俊偉5.3% 潘明輝5.5% -5.51 -2.00
3.1%
10.5%
 22.0-0.7pp

Race 8

第二班 · 1650m
跑馬地 · Post 22:50 · Rating 100-80 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $3,120,000
Top 3: #7 銀亮奔騰 · #12 極光之子 · #6 包裝福星 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (overall / same course+dist) Finish ZClosing ZGearScoreOddsEdge
1 7 銀亮奔騰 游達榮8.7% 潘頓21.5% overall · 16.3% here (n=430)
course/dist -6.5pp (n=430)
 +0.10 +0.47 TT/CP +9.02 8.8+2
2 12 極光之子 1st $30.00 伍鵬志7.9% 何澤堯10.7% overall · 11.5% here (n=323) +0.59 +0.21 TT +4.65 5.7+0
3 6 包裝福星 呂健威11.6% 田泰安9.8% overall · 11.6% here (n=414) -0.03 +0.07 XB +4.16 9.3+1
4 8 勁沙塵 廖康銘9.8% 巴度7.3% overall · 6.7% here (n=341) +1.18 -0.78 TT +2.35 4.0-3
5 11 穿甲金鷹 廖康銘9.8% 艾兆禮9.3% overall · 6.2% here (n=208)
course/dist -3.6pp (n=208)
 +0.00 +0.00 B +2.11 10.0+0
6 4 喜蓮勇感 3rd $69.50 沈集成10.0% 黃智弘8.6% overall · 11.2% here (n=98) -0.55 +0.58 TT/B +2.00 23.0+6
7 1 勁速威龍 呂健威11.6% 希威森6.8% overall · 8.9% here (n=313) -1.28 -1.28 B -0.64 14.0+2
8 5 大浪圖田 丁冠豪6.6% 班德禮6.8% overall · 9.1% here (n=275) -0.75 -0.24 TT -0.88 12.0-1
9 3 睿盛人生 2nd $36.50 方嘉柏9.6% 奧爾民6.5% overall · 1.3% here (n=78)
course/dist -5.6pp (n=78)
 -0.32 -0.10 TT/B -1.82 10.0-3
10 9 加州動員 告東尼8.5% 霍宏聲7.7% overall · 8.8% here (n=262) -0.09 +0.10 TT/B -1.94 12.0-2
11 2 大至尊 羅富全9.7% 周俊樂7.3% overall · 8.4% here (n=275) -2.17 -1.76 CP -9.00 16.0-1
12 10 非惟僥倖 姚本輝10.0% 艾道拿6.6% overall · 7.7% here (n=168) -3.82 -4.65 TT/B -20.37 21.0-1

Race 8

第二班 · 1650m
跑馬地 · Post 22:50 · Rating 100-80 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $3,120,000
Top 3 by ensemble P(win): #8 勁沙塵 · #5 大浪圖田 · #12 極光之子 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseDrawWeightTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 8 勁沙塵 5 125 廖康銘9.9% 巴度7.3% +1.18
19.4%
47.2%
 4.0-1.3pp
2 5 大浪圖田 2 129 丁冠豪6.6% 班德禮6.8% -0.75
13.9%
27.4%
 12.0+6.9pp
3 12 極光之子 1st $30.00 4 117 伍鵬志7.8% 何澤堯10.7% +0.59
13.5%
36.7%
 5.7-1.0pp
4 9 加州動員 3 123 告東尼8.5% 霍宏聲7.7% -0.09
8.3%
24.8%
 12.0+1.4pp
5 7 銀亮奔騰 12 127 游達榮8.7% 潘頓21.4% +0.10
7.8%
34.0%
 8.8-1.6pp
6 1 勁速威龍 1 135 呂健威11.6% 希威森6.7% -1.28
7.8%
27.5%
 14.0+1.9pp
7 6 包裝福星 6 127 呂健威11.6% 田泰安9.8% -0.03
7.7%
36.5%
 9.3-1.2pp
8 11 穿甲金鷹 11 117 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.3% —
7.4%
27.4%
 10.0-0.9pp
9 3 睿盛人生 2nd $36.50 9 132 方嘉柏9.6% 奧爾民6.5% -0.32
7.3%
27.3%
 10.0-1.0pp
10 2 大至尊 7 132 羅富全9.7% 周俊樂7.3% -2.17
5.2%
20.6%
 16.0-0.0pp
11 4 喜蓮勇感 3rd $69.50 8 129 沈集成9.9% 黃智弘8.4% -0.55
4.0%
22.8%
 23.0+0.4pp
12 10 非惟僥倖 10 121 姚本輝10.1% 艾道拿6.6% -3.82
3.9%
19.0%
 21.0-0.1pp

Race 8

第二班 · 1650m
跑馬地 · Post 22:50 · Rating 100-80 · Turf "B" 賽道 · $3,120,000
Top 3 by price-blind P(win): #7 銀亮奔騰 · #12 極光之子 · #9 加州動員 Score 3/5
Rank#HorseTrainer (win%)Jockey (win%) Last FinishZLast ClosingZP(win)P(place)OddsEdge
1 7 銀亮奔騰 游達榮8.7% 潘頓21.4% +0.10 +0.47
17.8%
43.2%
 8.8+8.4pp
2 12 極光之子 1st $30.00 伍鵬志7.8% 何澤堯10.7% +0.59 +0.21
14.1%
41.7%
 5.7-0.4pp
3 9 加州動員 告東尼8.5% 霍宏聲7.7% -0.09 +0.10
13.8%
31.5%
 12.0+6.9pp
4 6 包裝福星 呂健威11.6% 田泰安9.8% -0.03 +0.07
13.0%
39.9%
 9.3+4.0pp
5 8 勁沙塵 廖康銘9.9% 巴度7.3% +1.18 -0.78
12.8%
33.7%
 4.0-8.0pp
6 1 勁速威龍 呂健威11.6% 希威森6.7% -1.28 -1.28
12.2%
35.1%
 14.0+6.3pp
7 11 穿甲金鷹 廖康銘9.9% 艾兆禮9.3% — —
10.1%
21.7%
 10.0+1.8pp
8 3 睿盛人生 2nd $36.50 方嘉柏9.6% 奧爾民6.5% -0.32 -0.10
10.0%
20.4%
 10.0+1.7pp
9 5 大浪圖田 丁冠豪6.6% 班德禮6.8% -0.75 -0.24
9.4%
23.7%
 12.0+2.5pp
10 2 大至尊 羅富全9.7% 周俊樂7.3% -2.17 -1.76
6.6%
16.2%
 16.0+1.4pp
11 10 非惟僥倖 姚本輝10.1% 艾道拿6.6% -3.82 -4.65
6.2%
15.1%
 21.0+2.3pp
12 4 喜蓮勇感 3rd $69.50 沈集成9.9% 黃智弘8.4% -0.55 +0.58
5.8%
19.9%
 23.0+2.2pp